Version: 0.0.2 | Published: 21 Dec 2022 | Updated: 860 days ago
Data for Figure SPM.10 (v20210809) - Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report
Dataset
Summary
Citation:
Rogelj, J.; Trewin, B.; Haustein, K.; Canadell, P.; Szopa, S.; Milinski, S.;
Marotzke, J.; Zickfeld, K., 2021, Data for Figure SPM.10 (v20210809) - Summary
for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth
Assessment Report, NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data
Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/cfe938e70f8f4e98b0622296743f7913
Documentation
Associated Media:
Description:
Data for Figure SPM.10 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).
Figure SPM.10 shows global warming as a function of cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide.
---------------------------------------------------
Figure Caption
---------------------------------------------------
Near-linear relationship between cumulative CO2 emissions and the increase in global surface temperature. Top panel: Historical data (thin black line) shows observed global surface temperature increase in °C since 1850–1900 as a function of historical cumulative carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in GtCO2 from 1850 to 2019. The grey range with its central line shows a corresponding estimate of the historical human-caused surface warming (see Figure SPM.2). Coloured areas show the assessed very likely range of global surface temperature projections, and thick coloured central lines show the median estimate as a function of cumulative CO2 emissions from 2020 until year 2050 for the set of illustrative scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5, see Figure SPM.4). Projections use the cumulative CO2 emissions of each respective scenario, and the projected global warming includes the contribution from all anthropogenic forcers. The relationship is illustrated over the domain of cumulative CO2 emissions for which there is high confidence that the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions (TCRE) remains constant, and for the time period from 1850 to 2050 over which global CO2 emissions remain net positive under all illustrative scenarios as there is limited evidence supporting the quantitative application of TCRE to estimate temperature evolution under net negative CO2 emissions. Bottom panel: Historical and projected cumulative CO2 emissions in GtCO2 for the respective scenarios. {Figure TS.18, Figure 5.31, Section 5.5}
---------------------------------------------------
Figure subpanels
---------------------------------------------------
The figure has two panels that are closely linked. Data files for the top panel are labelled with 'Top_panel' while data files for the bottom panel are labelled with 'Bottom_panel'.
---------------------------------------------------
List of data provided
---------------------------------------------------
This dataset contains:
Top panel:
- Cumulative global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions (1850-2019)
- Global surface temperature increase relative to 1850-1900 (1850-2019)
- Estimated human-caused warming relative to 1850-1900 (1850-2019)
- Projected global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core set of scenarios (2015-2050)
- Assessed global surface temperature increase relative to 1850-1900 for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core set of scenarios (2015-2050)
Bottom panel:
- Cumulative global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions (1850-2019)
- Projected global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core set of scenarios (2015-2050)
The illustrative SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway) scenarios (referred to here as core scenarios) are described in Box SPM.1 of the Summary for Policymakers and Section 1.6.1.1 of Chapter 1.
Is Part Of:
Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC AR6
Coverage
Spatial Aggregation:
Global
Spatial Coverage:
Global
Spatial Resolution:
n/a
Start Date:
01 January 1850
End Date:
31 December 2050
Temporal Resolution:
ANNUAL
Geographic Bounding Box
Lower Left Latitude:
-90.0000
Lower Left Longitude:
-180.0000
Upper Right Latitude:
90.0000
Upper Right Longitude:
180.0000
Provenance
Purpose:
Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and
supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by
the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI). Data curated on
behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).
Accessibility
Access
Access Service:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and
non-registered users. Use of these data is covered by the following licence:
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. When using these data you must cite
them correctly using the citation given on the Data Catalogue record. When
citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable
as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure
originates: IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The
Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment
Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P.
Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L.
Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K.
Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge
University Press. In Press. Citable as: Rogelj, J.; Trewin, B.; Haustein, K.;
Canadell, P.; Szopa, S.; Milinski, S.; Marotzke, J.; Zickfeld, K. (2021):
Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth
Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.10 (v20210809). NERC EDS Centre for
Environmental Data Analysis, 09 August 2021.
doi:10.5285/cfe938e70f8f4e98b0622296743f7913.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/cfe938e70f8f4e98b0622296743f7913
Format:
csv
Language:
en
Usage
Is Referenced By:
References:
Resource Creator:
- Rogelj, J.
- Trewin, B.
- Haustein, K.
- Canadell, P.
- Szopa, S.
- Milinski, S.
- Marotzke, J.
- Zickfeld, K.
Origin
Name:
IPCC Data Catalogue