Version: 0.0.2 | Published: 1 Nov 2021 | Updated: 1306 days ago
Data for Figure SPM.4 (v20210809) - Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report
Dataset
Summary
Citation:
Rogelj, J.; Smith, C.; Plattner, G.-K.; Meinshausen, M.; Szopa, S.; Milinski,
S.; Marotzke, J., 2021, Data for Figure SPM.4 (v20210809) - Summary for
Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment
Report, NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data
Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/bd65331b1d344ccca44852e495d3a049
Documentation
Associated Media:
Description:
Data for Figure SPM.4 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).
Figure SPM.4 panel a shows global emissions projections for CO2 and a set of key non-CO2 climate drivers, for the core set of five IPCC AR6 scenarios. Figure SPM.4 panel b shows attributed warming in 2081-2100 relative to 1850-1900 for total anthropogenic, CO2, other greenhouse gases, and other anthropogenic forcings for five Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) scenarios.
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Figure Caption
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Future anthropogenic emissions of key drivers of climate change and warming contributions by groups of drivers for the five illustrative scenarios used in this report. The five scenarios are SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. Panel a) Annual anthropogenic (human-caused) emissions over the 2015–2100 period. Shown are emissions trajectories for carbon dioxide (CO2) from all sectors (GtCO2/yr) (left graph) and for a subset of three key non-CO2 drivers considered in the scenarios: methane (CH4, MtCH4/yr, top-right graph), nitrous oxide (N2O, MtN2O/yr, middle-right graph) and sulfur dioxide (SO2, MtSO2/yr, bottom-right graph, contributing to anthropogenic aerosols in panel b). Panel b) Warming contributions by groups of anthropogenic drivers and by scenario are shown as change in global surface temperature (°C) in 2081–2100 relative to 1850–1900, with indication of the observed warming to date. Bars and whiskers represent median values and the very likely range, respectively. Within each scenario bar plot, the bars represent total global warming (°C; total bar) (see Table SPM.1) and warming contributions (°C) from changes in CO2 (CO2 bar), from non-CO2 greenhouse gases (non-CO2 GHGs bar; comprising well-mixed greenhouse gases and ozone) and net cooling from other anthropogenic drivers (aerosols and land-use bar; anthropogenic aerosols, changes in reflectance due to land-use and irrigation changes, and contrails from aviation; see Figure SPM.2, panel c, for the warming contributions to date for individual drivers). The best estimate for observed warming in 2010–2019 relative to 1850–1900 (see Figure SPM.2, panel a) is indicated in the darker column in the total bar. Warming contributions in panel b are calculated as explained in Table SPM.1 for the total bar. For the other bars the contribution by groups of drivers are calculated with a physical climate emulator of global surface temperature which relies on climate sensitivity and radiative forcing assessments. {Cross-Chapter Box 1.4, 4.6, Figure 4.35, 6.7, Figure 6.18, 6.22 and 6.24, Cross-Chapter Box 7.1, 7.3, Figure 7.7, Box TS.7, Figures TS.4 and TS.15}
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Figure subpanels
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The figure has two panels, with data provided for all panels in subdirectories named panel_a and panel_b.
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List of data provided
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This dataset contains:
- Projected emissions from 2015 to 2100 for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core scenario set (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5)
- Projected warming for all anthropogenic forcers, CO2 only, non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHGs) only, and other anthropogenic components for 2081-2100 relative to 1850-1900, for SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5.
The five illustrative SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway) scenarios are described in Box SPM.1 of the Summary for Policymakers and Section 1.6.1.1 of Chapter 1.
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Data provided in relation to figure
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Panel a:
The first column includes the years, while the next columns include the data per scenario and per climate forcer for the line graphs.
- Data file: Carbon_dioxide_Gt_CO2_yr.csv. relates to Carbon dioxide emissions panel
- Data file: Methane_Mt_CO2_yr.csv. relates to Methane emissions panel
- Data file: Nitrous_oxide_Mt N2O_yr.csv. relates to Nitrous oxide emissions panel
- Data file: Sulfur_dioxide_Mt SO2_yr.csv. relates to Sulfur dioxide emissions panel
Panel b:
- Data file: ts_warming_ranges_1850-1900_base_panel_b.csv. [Rows 2 to 5 relate to the first bar chart (cyan). Rows 6 to 9 relate to the second bar chart (blue). Rows 10 to 13 relate to the third bar chart (orange). Rows 14 to 17 relate to the fourth bar chart (red). Rows 18 to 21 relate to the fifth bar chart (brown).].
Is Part Of:
Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC AR6
Coverage
Spatial Aggregation:
Global
Spatial Coverage:
Global
Spatial Resolution:
n/a
Start Date:
01 January 1850
End Date:
21 December 2100
Temporal Resolution:
OTHER
Geographic Bounding Box
Lower Left Latitude:
-90.0000
Lower Left Longitude:
-180.0000
Upper Right Latitude:
90.0000
Upper Right Longitude:
180.0000
Provenance
Purpose:
Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and
supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by
the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI). Data curated on
behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).
Accessibility
Access
Access Service:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and
non-registered users. Use of these data is covered by the following licence:
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. When using these data you must cite
them correctly using the citation given on the Data Catalogue record. When
citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable
as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure
originates: IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The
Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment
Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P.
Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L.
Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K.
Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge
University Press. In Press. Citable as: Rogelj, J.; Smith, C.; Plattner, G.-K.;
Meinshausen, M.; Szopa, S.; Milinski, S.; Marotzke, J. (2021): Summary for
Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment
Report - data for Figure SPM.4 (v20210809). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental
Data Analysis, 09 August 2021. doi:10.5285/bd65331b1d344ccca44852e495d3a049.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/bd65331b1d344ccca44852e495d3a049
Format:
csv
Language:
en
Usage
Is Referenced By:
Resource Creator:
- Rogelj, J.
- Smith, C.
- Plattner, G.-K.
- Meinshausen, M.
- Szopa, S.
- Milinski, S.
- Marotzke, J.
Origin
Name:
IPCC Data Catalogue